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Is the Eurozone ‘irreversible’?

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Is the Eurozone ‘irreversible’?

Alex Helling's picture
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Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank, has said that the euro is “irreversible” and has promised that "Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. And believe me, it will be enough." Of course as a leader of the Eurozone he has to sound upbeat and give positive noises about the willingness of the bank to provide a backstop to failing countries as his words can move the markets.

However the very fact that Draghi has to argue that the ECB will do whatever it can to preserve the euro shows how deep the crisis it; central banks really should not be worrying about whether their currency will survive. However while Draghi may be able to do enough to save the euro as a currency it is much more questionable whether he will be able to keep it intact with all of the current members of the zone. Spain’s interest rates are at an unsustainable 7% and Italy’s are not far behind. Many are worried that Europe is ‘sleepwalking to disaster’ and there is ‘one domino falling after another’. The ratings agencies are now worried enough that they are threatening even Germany with cuts in its credit rating.

And crisis in the Eurozone is bad news for its neighbours such as Eastern Europe and the UK as well; a think tank has classified seventeen economies as being at “extreme risk’ from a worsening Eurozone crisis. It is surely still possible for the Eurozone to survive but it is becoming ever more difficult as more countries are added to the bailout list. Something radical one way or the other will need to be done.

So do you think the Eurozone is ‘irreversible’?

Debatabase debate: This House would abolish the single European currency

http://idebate.org/debatabase/debates/politics-economics/house-would-abolish-single-european-currency

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/jul/26/euro-irreversible-mario-draghi-ecb

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2012/07/25/uk-eurozone-exposure-idUKLNE86O00520120725

http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/news/article-2178622/Euro-doomed-warn-experts-eurozone-sleepwalks-disaster.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

42 weeks 6 days ago
KateDebate's picture
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I am sure that Draghi is right that the Euro will remain; there is way too much time and effort invested in the currency to just give it up. At the very worst the Euro can shrink to a core of North European states - it would be less disruptive than everyone going back to national currencies.

But I think we should take Draghi's declaration at face value. The ECB is behind the Euro and wont let it fail. It will also not let countries drop out of the Euro. We should trust that Europe's leaders will keep one step ahead of the crisis. Eventually the markets are bound to accept that enough has been done!

42 weeks 5 days ago
Colin Helling's picture
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Previous currency blocks have not proved 'irreversable' so I see no reason the single currency should be. I think it is really a political rather than an economic question. As the British empire wound itself up and Britain drifted away from its former dominions so the Sterling area broke up. The opposite could be said for the Zollverein and the creation of the German Empire, although im not sure whether the Vereinsthaler could really count as a monetary union preceeding a political one.

42 weeks 5 days ago
Alex Helling's picture
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The Sterling still exists. Draghi did not say how many countries would still be using the Euro; it could just be Germany!

42 weeks 5 days ago
Alex Helling's picture
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A different Mario, this time Monti the Prime Minister of Italy has warned "“The tensions that have accompanied the euro zone in the past years are already showing signs of a psychological dissolution of Europe” saying the foundations of the European project could be destroyed. 

http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/italian-pm-fears-eurozone-crisis-023500614.html

41 weeks 2 days ago
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